HEAD-TO-HEAD
Head-to-Head Comparison
Career Head-to-Head
All career bouts, including juryo and below (broadcast tallies usually count makuuchi only).
Rating-based Forecast
Expected win rate (latest)
26.1%
藤ノ川 (R=1446)
vs
73.9%
大の里 (R=1629)
Glicko-2 expected score (opponent RD taken into account)
Forecast accuracy (2 bouts)
| Predicted win rate (藤ノ川) | 22.5% |
| Actual win rate | 100.0% |
| Delta | 77.5pt |
Positive = 藤ノ川 wins above rating expectation; negative = below.
Career Comparison
| Item | 藤ノ川 | 大の里 |
|---|---|---|
| Peak rating | 1446 (2026-07) | 1659 (2025-11) |
| Career bouts | 232 | 281 |
| Wins | 137 | 182 |
| Losses | 87 | 66 |
| Win rate | 61.4% | 73.2% |
| Current rank | Maegashira #1 | Yokozuna |
| Active period | 2023-03 〜 2026-07 | 2023-05 〜 2026-07 |
Rating history (overlay)
Bout details (2)
| Basho | Day | Predicted | 藤ノ川 | vs | 大の里 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-03 | 3 | 21% | ○ | vs | ● |
| 2026-07 | 2 | 24% | ○ | vs | ● |
Predicted = expected score at the start of that tournament (causal). Highlighted rows = upsets vs prediction.



