HEAD-TO-HEAD
Head-to-Head Comparison
Career Head-to-Head
All career bouts, including juryo and below (broadcast tallies usually count makuuchi only).
Rating-based Forecast
Expected win rate (latest)
49.2%
美勝丸 (R=686)
vs
50.8%
朝天舞 (R=692)
Glicko-2 expected score (opponent RD taken into account)
Forecast accuracy (2 bouts)
| Predicted win rate (美勝丸) | 41.4% |
| Actual win rate | 0.0% |
| Delta | -41.4pt |
Positive = 美勝丸 wins above rating expectation; negative = below.
Career Comparison
| Item | 美勝丸 | 朝天舞 |
|---|---|---|
| Peak rating | 879 (2023-07) | 1322 (2013-07) |
| Career bouts | 151 | 1,096 |
| Wins | 66 | 532 |
| Losses | 84 | 542 |
| Win rate | 44.4% | 49.8% |
| Current rank | Jonidan #90 | Jonidan #90 |
| Active period | 2023-05 〜 2026-09 | 2000-05 〜 2026-09 |
Rating history (overlay)
Bout details (2)
| Basho | Day | Predicted | 美勝丸 | vs | 朝天舞 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-03 | 9 | 33% | ● | vs | ○ |
| 2026-11 | 1 | 49% | ● | vs | ○ |
Predicted = expected score at the start of that tournament (causal). Highlighted rows = upsets vs prediction.