HEAD-TO-HEAD
Head-to-Head Comparison
Career Head-to-Head
All career bouts, including juryo and below (broadcast tallies usually count makuuchi only).
Rating-based Forecast
Expected win rate (latest)
29.9%
美勝丸 (R=686)
vs
70.1%
達ノ海 (R=838)
Glicko-2 expected score (opponent RD taken into account)
Forecast accuracy (4 bouts)
| Predicted win rate (美勝丸) | 34.5% |
| Actual win rate | 25.0% |
| Delta | -9.5pt |
Positive = 美勝丸 wins above rating expectation; negative = below.
Career Comparison
| Item | 美勝丸 | 達ノ海 |
|---|---|---|
| Peak rating | 879 (2023-07) | 1170 (2023-07) |
| Career bouts | 141 | 133 |
| Wins | 61 | 59 |
| Losses | 78 | 62 |
| Win rate | 44.3% | 48.8% |
| Current rank | Jonidan #90 | Sandanme #65 |
| Active period | 2023-05 〜 2026-09 | 2023-05 〜 2026-09 |
Rating history (overlay)
Bout details (4)
| Basho | Day | Predicted | 美勝丸 | vs | 達ノ海 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2023-07 | 11 | 16% | ● | vs | ○ |
| 2024-01 | 4 | 38% | ● | vs | ○ |
| 2026-05 | 6 | 42% | ○ | vs | ● |
| 2026-07 | 7 | 43% | ● | vs | ○ |
Predicted = expected score at the start of that tournament (causal). Highlighted rows = upsets vs prediction.