HEAD-TO-HEAD
Head-to-Head Comparison
Career Head-to-Head
All career bouts, including juryo and below (broadcast tallies usually count makuuchi only).
Rating-based Forecast
Expected win rate (latest)
45.9%
肥後ノ丸 (R=1019)
vs
54.1%
出沼 (R=1048)
Glicko-2 expected score (opponent RD taken into account)
Forecast accuracy (1 bouts)
| Predicted win rate (肥後ノ丸) | 48.9% |
| Actual win rate | 100.0% |
| Delta | 51.1pt |
Positive = 肥後ノ丸 wins above rating expectation; negative = below.
Career Comparison
| Item | 肥後ノ丸 | 出沼 |
|---|---|---|
| Peak rating | 1450 (2023-05) | 1256 (2019-05) |
| Career bouts | 133 | 294 |
| Wins | 74 | 153 |
| Losses | 59 | 136 |
| Win rate | 55.6% | 53.1% |
| Current rank | Makushita #50 | Makushita #47 |
| Active period | 2023-05 〜 2026-05 | 2019-05 〜 2026-05 |
Rating history (overlay)
Bout details (1)
| Basho | Day | Predicted | 肥後ノ丸 | vs | 出沼 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024-05 | 15 | 49% | ○ | vs | ● |
Predicted = expected score at the start of that tournament (causal). Highlighted rows = upsets vs prediction.