HEAD-TO-HEAD
Head-to-Head Comparison
Career Head-to-Head
All career bouts, including juryo and below (broadcast tallies usually count makuuchi only).
Rating-based Forecast
Expected win rate (latest)
51.0%
相馬 (R=1205)
vs
49.0%
天照馬 (R=1197)
Glicko-2 expected score (opponent RD taken into account)
Forecast accuracy (2 bouts)
| Predicted win rate (相馬) | 51.5% |
| Actual win rate | 50.0% |
| Delta | -1.5pt |
Positive = 相馬 wins above rating expectation; negative = below.
Career Comparison
| Item | 相馬 | 天照馬 |
|---|---|---|
| Peak rating | 1344 (2023-07) | 1231 (2024-11) |
| Career bouts | 133 | 339 |
| Wins | 75 | 168 |
| Losses | 57 | 141 |
| Win rate | 57.1% | 54.3% |
| Current rank | Sandanme #14 | Sandanme #14 |
| Active period | 2023-05 〜 2026-09 | 2018-03 〜 2026-09 |
Rating history (overlay)
Bout details (2)
| Basho | Day | Predicted | 相馬 | vs | 天照馬 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024-03 | 14 | 51% | ● | vs | ○ |
| 2026-05 | 6 | 52% | ○ | vs | ● |
Predicted = expected score at the start of that tournament (causal). Highlighted rows = upsets vs prediction.