HEAD-TO-HEAD
Head-to-Head Comparison
Career Head-to-Head
All career bouts, including juryo and below (broadcast tallies usually count makuuchi only).
Rating-based Forecast
Expected win rate (latest)
21.1%
祥乃山 (R=497)
vs
78.9%
鋼 (R=731)
Glicko-2 expected score (opponent RD taken into account)
Forecast accuracy (2 bouts)
| Predicted win rate (祥乃山) | 19.2% |
| Actual win rate | 50.0% |
| Delta | 30.8pt |
Positive = 祥乃山 wins above rating expectation; negative = below.
Career Comparison
| Item | 祥乃山 | 鋼 |
|---|---|---|
| Peak rating | 1144 (2023-05) | 1482 (2000-05) |
| Career bouts | 151 | 1,101 |
| Wins | 58 | 534 |
| Losses | 93 | 561 |
| Win rate | 38.4% | 48.7% |
| Current rank | Jonidan #93 | Jonidan #92 |
| Active period | 2023-05 〜 2026-09 | 2000-05 〜 2026-09 |
Rating history (overlay)
Bout details (2)
| Basho | Day | Predicted | 祥乃山 | vs | 鋼 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09 | 1 | 17% | ● | vs | ○ |
| 2026-11 | 3 | 21% | ○ | vs | ● |
Predicted = expected score at the start of that tournament (causal). Highlighted rows = upsets vs prediction.