HEAD-TO-HEAD
Head-to-Head Comparison
Career Head-to-Head
All career bouts, including juryo and below (broadcast tallies usually count makuuchi only).
Rating-based Forecast
Expected win rate (latest)
58.2%
祥乃山 (R=497)
vs
41.8%
荒飛 (R=439)
Glicko-2 expected score (opponent RD taken into account)
Forecast accuracy (4 bouts)
| Predicted win rate (祥乃山) | 77.3% |
| Actual win rate | 75.0% |
| Delta | -2.3pt |
Positive = 祥乃山 wins above rating expectation; negative = below.
Career Comparison
| Item | 祥乃山 | 荒飛 |
|---|---|---|
| Peak rating | 1144 (2023-05) | 819 (2022-05) |
| Career bouts | 151 | 194 |
| Wins | 58 | 59 |
| Losses | 93 | 132 |
| Win rate | 38.4% | 30.4% |
| Current rank | Jonidan #93 | Jonidan #93 |
| Active period | 2023-05 〜 2026-09 | 2022-05 〜 2026-09 |
Rating history (overlay)
Bout details (4)
| Basho | Day | Predicted | 祥乃山 | vs | 荒飛 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2023-11 | 15 | 96% | ○ | vs | ● |
| 2024-05 | 10 | 81% | ○ | vs | ● |
| 2024-09 | 13 | 74% | ○ | vs | ● |
| 2026-11 | 2 | 58% | ● | vs | ○ |
Predicted = expected score at the start of that tournament (causal). Highlighted rows = upsets vs prediction.