HEAD-TO-HEAD
Head-to-Head Comparison
Career Head-to-Head
All career bouts, including juryo and below (broadcast tallies usually count makuuchi only).
Rating-based Forecast
Expected win rate (latest)
54.4%
千代の輝 (R=957)
vs
45.6%
魁佑馬 (R=926)
Glicko-2 expected score (opponent RD taken into account)
Forecast accuracy (1 bouts)
| Predicted win rate (千代の輝) | 54.4% |
| Actual win rate | 0.0% |
| Delta | -54.4pt |
Positive = 千代の輝 wins above rating expectation; negative = below.
Career Comparison
| Item | 千代の輝 | 魁佑馬 |
|---|---|---|
| Peak rating | 984 (2026-05) | 1172 (2016-05) |
| Career bouts | 115 | 436 |
| Wins | 40 | 214 |
| Losses | 26 | 220 |
| Win rate | 59.7% | 49.4% |
| Current rank | Jonidan #45 | Jonidan #48 |
| Active period | 2023-11 〜 2026-09 | 2016-05 〜 2026-09 |
Rating history (overlay)
Bout details (1)
| Basho | Day | Predicted | 千代の輝 | vs | 魁佑馬 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-11 | 6 | 54% | ● | vs | ○ |
Predicted = expected score at the start of that tournament (causal). Highlighted rows = upsets vs prediction.