HEAD-TO-HEAD
Head-to-Head Comparison
Career Head-to-Head
All career bouts, including juryo and below (broadcast tallies usually count makuuchi only).
Rating-based Forecast
Expected win rate (latest)
82.4%
千代の輝 (R=957)
vs
17.6%
朝櫻井 (R=683)
Glicko-2 expected score (opponent RD taken into account)
Forecast accuracy (1 bouts)
| Predicted win rate (千代の輝) | 82.4% |
| Actual win rate | 100.0% |
| Delta | 17.6pt |
Positive = 千代の輝 wins above rating expectation; negative = below.
Career Comparison
| Item | 千代の輝 | 朝櫻井 |
|---|---|---|
| Peak rating | 984 (2026-05) | 821 (2023-05) |
| Career bouts | 115 | 151 |
| Wins | 40 | 59 |
| Losses | 26 | 92 |
| Win rate | 59.7% | 39.1% |
| Current rank | Jonidan #45 | Jonidan #45 |
| Active period | 2023-11 〜 2026-09 | 2023-05 〜 2026-09 |
Rating history (overlay)
Bout details (1)
| Basho | Day | Predicted | 千代の輝 | vs | 朝櫻井 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-11 | 2 | 82% | ○ | vs | ● |
Predicted = expected score at the start of that tournament (causal). Highlighted rows = upsets vs prediction.