HEAD-TO-HEAD
Head-to-Head Comparison
Career Head-to-Head
All career bouts, including juryo and below (broadcast tallies usually count makuuchi only).
Rating-based Forecast
Expected win rate (latest)
74.0%
朝櫻井 (R=683)
vs
26.0%
祥乃山 (R=497)
Glicko-2 expected score (opponent RD taken into account)
Forecast accuracy (3 bouts)
| Predicted win rate (朝櫻井) | 22.1% |
| Actual win rate | 0.0% |
| Delta | -22.1pt |
Positive = 朝櫻井 wins above rating expectation; negative = below.
Career Comparison
| Item | 朝櫻井 | 祥乃山 |
|---|---|---|
| Peak rating | 821 (2023-05) | 1144 (2023-05) |
| Career bouts | 133 | 133 |
| Wins | 52 | 51 |
| Losses | 81 | 82 |
| Win rate | 39.1% | 38.3% |
| Current rank | Jonidan #74 | Jonidan #75 |
| Active period | 2023-05 〜 2026-09 | 2023-05 〜 2026-09 |
Rating history (overlay)
Bout details (3)
| Basho | Day | Predicted | 朝櫻井 | vs | 祥乃山 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2023-05 | 3 | 50% | ● | vs | ○ |
| 2023-09 | 2 | 7% | ● | vs | ○ |
| 2023-11 | 7 | 9% | ● | vs | ○ |
Predicted = expected score at the start of that tournament (causal). Highlighted rows = upsets vs prediction.