HEAD-TO-HEAD
Head-to-Head Comparison
Career Head-to-Head
All career bouts, including juryo and below (broadcast tallies usually count makuuchi only).
Rating-based Forecast
Expected win rate (latest)
54.7%
菊昇基 (R=872)
vs
45.3%
達ノ海 (R=838)
Glicko-2 expected score (opponent RD taken into account)
Forecast accuracy (1 bouts)
| Predicted win rate (菊昇基) | 64.0% |
| Actual win rate | 100.0% |
| Delta | 36.0pt |
Positive = 菊昇基 wins above rating expectation; negative = below.
Career Comparison
| Item | 菊昇基 | 達ノ海 |
|---|---|---|
| Peak rating | 1256 (2023-05) | 1170 (2023-07) |
| Career bouts | 141 | 133 |
| Wins | 65 | 59 |
| Losses | 69 | 62 |
| Win rate | 48.9% | 48.8% |
| Current rank | Jonidan #47 | Sandanme #65 |
| Active period | 2023-05 〜 2026-09 | 2023-05 〜 2026-09 |
Rating history (overlay)
Bout details (1)
| Basho | Day | Predicted | 菊昇基 | vs | 達ノ海 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07 | 3 | 64% | ○ | vs | ● |
Predicted = expected score at the start of that tournament (causal). Highlighted rows = upsets vs prediction.