HEAD-TO-HEAD
Head-to-Head Comparison
Career Head-to-Head
All career bouts, including juryo and below (broadcast tallies usually count makuuchi only).
Rating-based Forecast
Expected win rate (latest)
38.2%
菊昇基 (R=872)
vs
61.8%
千代の輝 (R=957)
Glicko-2 expected score (opponent RD taken into account)
Forecast accuracy (1 bouts)
| Predicted win rate (菊昇基) | 32.4% |
| Actual win rate | 100.0% |
| Delta | 67.6pt |
Positive = 菊昇基 wins above rating expectation; negative = below.
Career Comparison
| Item | 菊昇基 | 千代の輝 |
|---|---|---|
| Peak rating | 1256 (2023-05) | 984 (2026-05) |
| Career bouts | 141 | 98 |
| Wins | 65 | 31 |
| Losses | 69 | 18 |
| Win rate | 48.9% | 62.0% |
| Current rank | Jonidan #47 | Jonidan #45 |
| Active period | 2023-05 〜 2026-09 | 2023-11 〜 2026-09 |
Rating history (overlay)
Bout details (1)
| Basho | Day | Predicted | 菊昇基 | vs | 千代の輝 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07 | 11 | 32% | ○ | vs | ● |
Predicted = expected score at the start of that tournament (causal). Highlighted rows = upsets vs prediction.