HEAD-TO-HEAD
Head-to-Head Comparison
Career Head-to-Head
All career bouts, including juryo and below (broadcast tallies usually count makuuchi only).
Rating-based Forecast
Expected win rate (latest)
70.4%
阿武剋 (R=1586)
vs
29.6%
佐田の海 (R=1432)
Glicko-2 expected score (opponent RD taken into account)
Forecast accuracy (6 bouts)
| Predicted win rate (阿武剋) | 65.9% |
| Actual win rate | 83.3% |
| Delta | 17.4pt |
Positive = 阿武剋 wins above rating expectation; negative = below.
Career Comparison
| Item | 阿武剋 | 佐田の海 |
|---|---|---|
| Peak rating | 1726 (2024-05) | 1692 (2015-07) |
| Career bouts | 246 | 1,628 |
| Wins | 127 | 791 |
| Losses | 106 | 829 |
| Win rate | 54.6% | 48.9% |
| Current rank | Juryo #1 | Juryo #11 |
| Active period | 2023-11 〜 2026-09 | 2003-05 〜 2026-09 |
Rating history (overlay)
Bout details (6)
| Basho | Day | Predicted | 阿武剋 | vs | 佐田の海 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024-09 | 15 | 66% | ○ | vs | ● |
| 2025-03 | 12 | 65% | ○ | vs | ● |
| 2025-11 | 14 | 72% | ○ | vs | ● |
| 2026-05 | 2 | 65% | ○ | vs | ● |
| 2026-07 | 4 | 66% | ● | vs | ○ |
| 2026-09 | 11 | 63% | ○ | vs | ● |
Predicted = expected score at the start of that tournament (causal). Highlighted rows = upsets vs prediction.