HEAD-TO-HEAD
Head-to-Head Comparison
Career Head-to-Head
All career bouts, including juryo and below (broadcast tallies usually count makuuchi only).
Rating-based Forecast
Expected win rate (latest)
60.7%
阿武剋 (R=1419)
vs
39.3%
佐田の海 (R=1343)
Glicko-2 expected score (opponent RD taken into account)
Forecast accuracy (5 bouts)
| Predicted win rate (阿武剋) | 63.1% |
| Actual win rate | 80.0% |
| Delta | 16.9pt |
Positive = 阿武剋 wins above rating expectation; negative = below.
Career Comparison
| Item | 阿武剋 | 佐田の海 |
|---|---|---|
| Peak rating | 1553 (2024-05) | 1393 (2022-11) |
| Career bouts | 228 | 1,610 |
| Wins | 117 | 787 |
| Losses | 97 | 814 |
| Win rate | 54.8% | 49.3% |
| Current rank | Maegashira #15 | Juryo #2 |
| Active period | 2023-11 〜 2026-07 | 2003-05 〜 2026-07 |
Rating history (overlay)
Bout details (5)
| Basho | Day | Predicted | 阿武剋 | vs | 佐田の海 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024-09 | 15 | 68% | ○ | vs | ● |
| 2025-03 | 12 | 62% | ○ | vs | ● |
| 2025-11 | 14 | 63% | ○ | vs | ● |
| 2026-05 | 2 | 61% | ○ | vs | ● |
| 2026-07 | 4 | 61% | ● | vs | ○ |
Predicted = expected score at the start of that tournament (causal). Highlighted rows = upsets vs prediction.