HEAD-TO-HEAD
Head-to-Head Comparison
Career Head-to-Head
All career bouts, including juryo and below (broadcast tallies usually count makuuchi only).
Rating-based Forecast
Expected win rate (latest)
35.0%
旭大龍 (R=1083)
vs
65.0%
清乃海 (R=1193)
Glicko-2 expected score (opponent RD taken into account)
Forecast accuracy (1 bouts)
| Predicted win rate (旭大龍) | 35.0% |
| Actual win rate | 100.0% |
| Delta | 65.0pt |
Positive = 旭大龍 wins above rating expectation; negative = below.
Career Comparison
| Item | 旭大龍 | 清乃海 |
|---|---|---|
| Peak rating | 1173 (2024-03) | 1329 (2015-01) |
| Career bouts | 116 | 498 |
| Wins | 62 | 238 |
| Losses | 54 | 233 |
| Win rate | 53.4% | 50.8% |
| Current rank | Sandanme #15 | Sandanme #16 |
| Active period | 2024-03 〜 2026-09 | 2014-11 〜 2026-09 |
Rating history (overlay)
Bout details (1)
| Basho | Day | Predicted | 旭大龍 | vs | 清乃海 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-11 | 3 | 35% | ○ | vs | ● |
Predicted = expected score at the start of that tournament (causal). Highlighted rows = upsets vs prediction.