HEAD-TO-HEAD
Head-to-Head Comparison
Career Head-to-Head
All career bouts, including juryo and below (broadcast tallies usually count makuuchi only).
Rating-based Forecast
Expected win rate (latest)
44.7%
旭天道 (R=1177)
vs
55.3%
千代ノ皇 (R=1215)
Glicko-2 expected score (opponent RD taken into account)
Forecast accuracy (2 bouts)
| Predicted win rate (旭天道) | 40.6% |
| Actual win rate | 0.0% |
| Delta | -40.6pt |
Positive = 旭天道 wins above rating expectation; negative = below.
Career Comparison
| Item | 旭天道 | 千代ノ皇 |
|---|---|---|
| Peak rating | 1177 (2026-09) | 1579 (2021-05) |
| Career bouts | 115 | 1,021 |
| Wins | 65 | 488 |
| Losses | 43 | 471 |
| Win rate | 60.2% | 50.8% |
| Current rank | Sandanme #23 | Sandanme #21 |
| Active period | 2024-03 〜 2026-09 | 2010-03 〜 2026-09 |
Rating history (overlay)
Bout details (2)
| Basho | Day | Predicted | 旭天道 | vs | 千代ノ皇 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-05 | 12 | 37% | ● | vs | ○ |
| 2026-11 | 6 | 45% | ● | vs | ○ |
Predicted = expected score at the start of that tournament (causal). Highlighted rows = upsets vs prediction.