HEAD-TO-HEAD
Head-to-Head Comparison
Career Head-to-Head
All career bouts, including juryo and below (broadcast tallies usually count makuuchi only).
Rating-based Forecast
Expected win rate (latest)
56.7%
大斧 (R=1329)
vs
43.3%
出羽大海 (R=1281)
Glicko-2 expected score (opponent RD taken into account)
Forecast accuracy (3 bouts)
| Predicted win rate (大斧) | 53.0% |
| Actual win rate | 33.3% |
| Delta | -19.7pt |
Positive = 大斧 wins above rating expectation; negative = below.
Career Comparison
| Item | 大斧 | 出羽大海 |
|---|---|---|
| Peak rating | 1353 (2026-05) | 1341 (2026-03) |
| Career bouts | 98 | 572 |
| Wins | 60 | 272 |
| Losses | 38 | 230 |
| Win rate | 61.2% | 54.0% |
| Current rank | Makushita #35 | Makushita #34 |
| Active period | 2024-03 〜 2026-09 | 2012-03 〜 2026-09 |
Rating history (overlay)
Bout details (3)
| Basho | Day | Predicted | 大斧 | vs | 出羽大海 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024-05 | 14 | 47% | ● | vs | ○ |
| 2024-09 | 7 | 61% | ○ | vs | ● |
| 2025-07 | 13 | 51% | ● | vs | ○ |
Predicted = expected score at the start of that tournament (causal). Highlighted rows = upsets vs prediction.