HEAD-TO-HEAD
Head-to-Head Comparison
Career Head-to-Head
All career bouts, including juryo and below (broadcast tallies usually count makuuchi only).
Rating-based Forecast
Expected win rate (latest)
65.4%
大斧 (R=1329)
vs
34.6%
大新海 (R=1216)
Glicko-2 expected score (opponent RD taken into account)
Forecast accuracy (2 bouts)
| Predicted win rate (大斧) | 67.3% |
| Actual win rate | 100.0% |
| Delta | 32.7pt |
Positive = 大斧 wins above rating expectation; negative = below.
Career Comparison
| Item | 大斧 | 大新海 |
|---|---|---|
| Peak rating | 1353 (2026-05) | 1300 (2019-07) |
| Career bouts | 115 | 312 |
| Wins | 68 | 158 |
| Losses | 47 | 147 |
| Win rate | 59.1% | 51.6% |
| Current rank | Makushita #42 | Makushita #43 |
| Active period | 2024-03 〜 2026-09 | 2019-05 〜 2026-09 |
Rating history (overlay)
Bout details (2)
| Basho | Day | Predicted | 大斧 | vs | 大新海 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-01 | 9 | 69% | ○ | vs | ● |
| 2026-11 | 2 | 65% | ○ | vs | ● |
Predicted = expected score at the start of that tournament (causal). Highlighted rows = upsets vs prediction.

