HEAD-TO-HEAD
Head-to-Head Comparison
Career Head-to-Head
All career bouts, including juryo and below (broadcast tallies usually count makuuchi only).
Rating-based Forecast
Expected win rate (latest)
70.3%
嵐富士 (R=1608)
vs
29.7%
栃大海 (R=1455)
Glicko-2 expected score (opponent RD taken into account)
Forecast accuracy (1 bouts)
| Predicted win rate (嵐富士) | 53.6% |
| Actual win rate | 100.0% |
| Delta | 46.4pt |
Positive = 嵐富士 wins above rating expectation; negative = below.
Career Comparison
| Item | 嵐富士 | 栃大海 |
|---|---|---|
| Peak rating | 1608 (2026-09) | 1564 (2025-03) |
| Career bouts | 128 | 473 |
| Wins | 78 | 246 |
| Losses | 48 | 221 |
| Win rate | 61.4% | 52.6% |
| Current rank | Maegashira #16 | Makushita #3 |
| Active period | 2024-03 〜 2026-09 | 2017-11 〜 2026-09 |
Rating history (overlay)
Bout details (1)
| Basho | Day | Predicted | 嵐富士 | vs | 栃大海 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07 | 3 | 54% | ○ | vs | ● |
Predicted = expected score at the start of that tournament (causal). Highlighted rows = upsets vs prediction.