HEAD-TO-HEAD
Head-to-Head Comparison
Career Head-to-Head
All career bouts, including juryo and below (broadcast tallies usually count makuuchi only).
Rating-based Forecast
Expected win rate (latest)
89.4%
大志翔 (R=589)
vs
10.6%
原 (R=211)
Glicko-2 expected score (opponent RD taken into account)
Forecast accuracy (4 bouts)
| Predicted win rate (大志翔) | 62.3% |
| Actual win rate | 75.0% |
| Delta | 12.7pt |
Positive = 大志翔 wins above rating expectation; negative = below.
Career Comparison
| Item | 大志翔 | 原 |
|---|---|---|
| Peak rating | 889 (2024-05) | 892 (2024-05) |
| Career bouts | 91 | 91 |
| Wins | 32 | 21 |
| Losses | 59 | 70 |
| Win rate | 35.2% | 23.1% |
| Current rank | Jonidan #50 | Jonokuchi #16 |
| Active period | 2024-05 〜 2026-09 | 2024-05 〜 2026-09 |
Rating history (overlay)
Bout details (4)
| Basho | Day | Predicted | 大志翔 | vs | 原 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024-05 | 14 | 50% | ○ | vs | ● |
| 2024-07 | 7 | 50% | ● | vs | ○ |
| 2024-11 | 4 | 72% | ○ | vs | ● |
| 2025-03 | 6 | 78% | ○ | vs | ● |
Predicted = expected score at the start of that tournament (causal). Highlighted rows = upsets vs prediction.