HEAD-TO-HEAD
Head-to-Head Comparison
Career Head-to-Head
All career bouts, including juryo and below (broadcast tallies usually count makuuchi only).
Rating-based Forecast
Expected win rate (latest)
42.7%
栃葵 (R=1031)
vs
57.3%
雷嵐 (R=1083)
Glicko-2 expected score (opponent RD taken into account)
Forecast accuracy (4 bouts)
| Predicted win rate (栃葵) | 36.8% |
| Actual win rate | 25.0% |
| Delta | -11.8pt |
Positive = 栃葵 wins above rating expectation; negative = below.
Career Comparison
| Item | 栃葵 | 雷嵐 |
|---|---|---|
| Peak rating | 1060 (2025-05) | 1218 (2024-07) |
| Career bouts | 91 | 91 |
| Wins | 48 | 47 |
| Losses | 43 | 36 |
| Win rate | 52.7% | 57.1% |
| Current rank | Sandanme #51 | Sandanme #13 |
| Active period | 2024-05 〜 2026-09 | 2024-05 〜 2026-09 |
Rating history (overlay)
Bout details (4)
| Basho | Day | Predicted | 栃葵 | vs | 雷嵐 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024-05 | 1 | 50% | ● | vs | ○ |
| 2024-07 | 2 | 31% | ● | vs | ○ |
| 2024-09 | 4 | 27% | ● | vs | ○ |
| 2025-01 | 2 | 40% | ○ | vs | ● |
Predicted = expected score at the start of that tournament (causal). Highlighted rows = upsets vs prediction.