HEAD-TO-HEAD
Head-to-Head Comparison
Career Head-to-Head
All career bouts, including juryo and below (broadcast tallies usually count makuuchi only).
Rating-based Forecast
Expected win rate (latest)
58.5%
藤壮大 (R=1436)
vs
41.5%
上戸 (R=1375)
Glicko-2 expected score (opponent RD taken into account)
Forecast accuracy (1 bouts)
| Predicted win rate (藤壮大) | 42.4% |
| Actual win rate | 100.0% |
| Delta | 57.6pt |
Positive = 藤壮大 wins above rating expectation; negative = below.
Career Comparison
| Item | 藤壮大 | 上戸 |
|---|---|---|
| Peak rating | 1464 (2026-07) | 1498 (2025-07) |
| Career bouts | 91 | 382 |
| Wins | 57 | 204 |
| Losses | 34 | 169 |
| Win rate | 62.6% | 54.6% |
| Current rank | Makushita #5 | Makushita #9 |
| Active period | 2024-05 〜 2026-09 | 2017-03 〜 2026-09 |
Rating history (overlay)
Bout details (1)
| Basho | Day | Predicted | 藤壮大 | vs | 上戸 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-01 | 2 | 42% | ○ | vs | ● |
Predicted = expected score at the start of that tournament (causal). Highlighted rows = upsets vs prediction.