HEAD-TO-HEAD
Head-to-Head Comparison
Career Head-to-Head
All career bouts, including juryo and below (broadcast tallies usually count makuuchi only).
Rating-based Forecast
Expected win rate (latest)
45.3%
藤壮大 (R=1436)
vs
54.7%
大喜翔 (R=1469)
Glicko-2 expected score (opponent RD taken into account)
Forecast accuracy (2 bouts)
| Predicted win rate (藤壮大) | 43.5% |
| Actual win rate | 50.0% |
| Delta | 6.5pt |
Positive = 藤壮大 wins above rating expectation; negative = below.
Career Comparison
| Item | 藤壮大 | 大喜翔 |
|---|---|---|
| Peak rating | 1464 (2026-07) | 1475 (2026-07) |
| Career bouts | 91 | 301 |
| Wins | 57 | 158 |
| Losses | 34 | 111 |
| Win rate | 62.6% | 58.7% |
| Current rank | Makushita #12 | Makushita #6 |
| Active period | 2024-05 〜 2026-09 | 2019-03 〜 2026-09 |
Rating history (overlay)
Bout details (2)
| Basho | Day | Predicted | 藤壮大 | vs | 大喜翔 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-09 | 10 | 40% | ○ | vs | ● |
| 2026-05 | 11 | 47% | ● | vs | ○ |
Predicted = expected score at the start of that tournament (causal). Highlighted rows = upsets vs prediction.