HEAD-TO-HEAD
Head-to-Head Comparison
Career Head-to-Head
All career bouts, including juryo and below (broadcast tallies usually count makuuchi only).
Rating-based Forecast
Expected win rate (latest)
54.3%
藤壮大 (R=1436)
vs
45.7%
北天海 (R=1405)
Glicko-2 expected score (opponent RD taken into account)
Forecast accuracy (2 bouts)
| Predicted win rate (藤壮大) | 52.7% |
| Actual win rate | 50.0% |
| Delta | -2.7pt |
Positive = 藤壮大 wins above rating expectation; negative = below.
Career Comparison
| Item | 藤壮大 | 北天海 |
|---|---|---|
| Peak rating | 1464 (2026-07) | 1425 (2023-11) |
| Career bouts | 108 | 298 |
| Wins | 64 | 156 |
| Losses | 44 | 119 |
| Win rate | 59.3% | 56.8% |
| Current rank | Makushita #12 | Makushita #13 |
| Active period | 2024-05 〜 2026-09 | 2019-09 〜 2026-09 |
Rating history (overlay)
Bout details (2)
| Basho | Day | Predicted | 藤壮大 | vs | 北天海 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-01 | 15 | 51% | ○ | vs | ● |
| 2026-11 | 4 | 54% | ● | vs | ○ |
Predicted = expected score at the start of that tournament (causal). Highlighted rows = upsets vs prediction.