HEAD-TO-HEAD
Head-to-Head Comparison
Career Head-to-Head
All career bouts, including juryo and below (broadcast tallies usually count makuuchi only).
Rating-based Forecast
Expected win rate (latest)
71.6%
魁玉聖 (R=625)
vs
28.4%
天一 (R=461)
Glicko-2 expected score (opponent RD taken into account)
Forecast accuracy (1 bouts)
| Predicted win rate (魁玉聖) | 68.6% |
| Actual win rate | 100.0% |
| Delta | 31.4pt |
Positive = 魁玉聖 wins above rating expectation; negative = below.
Career Comparison
| Item | 魁玉聖 | 天一 |
|---|---|---|
| Peak rating | 1144 (2024-05) | 1359 (2007-09) |
| Career bouts | 91 | 1,379 |
| Wins | 38 | 656 |
| Losses | 53 | 704 |
| Win rate | 41.8% | 48.4% |
| Current rank | Jonidan #91 | Jonidan #93 |
| Active period | 2024-05 〜 2026-09 | 1993-05 〜 2026-09 |
Rating history (overlay)
Bout details (1)
| Basho | Day | Predicted | 魁玉聖 | vs | 天一 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-05 | 11 | 69% | ○ | vs | ● |
Predicted = expected score at the start of that tournament (causal). Highlighted rows = upsets vs prediction.