HEAD-TO-HEAD
Head-to-Head Comparison
Career Head-to-Head
All career bouts, including juryo and below (broadcast tallies usually count makuuchi only).
Rating-based Forecast
Expected win rate (latest)
79.5%
魁蒼 (R=674)
vs
20.5%
大國 (R=434)
Glicko-2 expected score (opponent RD taken into account)
Forecast accuracy (2 bouts)
| Predicted win rate (魁蒼) | 57.1% |
| Actual win rate | 50.0% |
| Delta | -7.1pt |
Positive = 魁蒼 wins above rating expectation; negative = below.
Career Comparison
| Item | 魁蒼 | 大國 |
|---|---|---|
| Peak rating | 1067 (2024-05) | 1268 (2010-11) |
| Career bouts | 108 | 659 |
| Wins | 48 | 296 |
| Losses | 60 | 356 |
| Win rate | 44.4% | 45.3% |
| Current rank | Jonidan #69 | Jonidan #68 |
| Active period | 2024-05 〜 2026-09 | 2010-11 〜 2026-09 |
Rating history (overlay)
Bout details (2)
| Basho | Day | Predicted | 魁蒼 | vs | 大國 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024-11 | 8 | 35% | ● | vs | ○ |
| 2026-11 | 6 | 80% | ○ | vs | ● |
Predicted = expected score at the start of that tournament (causal). Highlighted rows = upsets vs prediction.