HEAD-TO-HEAD
Head-to-Head Comparison
Career Head-to-Head
All career bouts, including juryo and below (broadcast tallies usually count makuuchi only).
Rating-based Forecast
Expected win rate (latest)
75.0%
魁蒼 (R=674)
vs
25.0%
獅子丸 (R=480)
Glicko-2 expected score (opponent RD taken into account)
Forecast accuracy (2 bouts)
| Predicted win rate (魁蒼) | 85.8% |
| Actual win rate | 100.0% |
| Delta | 14.2pt |
Positive = 魁蒼 wins above rating expectation; negative = below.
Career Comparison
| Item | 魁蒼 | 獅子丸 |
|---|---|---|
| Peak rating | 1067 (2024-05) | 765 (2018-03) |
| Career bouts | 108 | 359 |
| Wins | 48 | 118 |
| Losses | 60 | 225 |
| Win rate | 44.4% | 34.8% |
| Current rank | Jonidan #69 | Jonidan #69 |
| Active period | 2024-05 〜 2026-09 | 2018-03 〜 2026-09 |
Rating history (overlay)
Bout details (2)
| Basho | Day | Predicted | 魁蒼 | vs | 獅子丸 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024-07 | 4 | 97% | ○ | vs | ● |
| 2026-11 | 2 | 75% | ○ | vs | ● |
Predicted = expected score at the start of that tournament (causal). Highlighted rows = upsets vs prediction.