HEAD-TO-HEAD
Head-to-Head Comparison
Career Head-to-Head
All career bouts, including juryo and below (broadcast tallies usually count makuuchi only).
Rating-based Forecast
Expected win rate (latest)
53.1%
大花竜 (R=1465)
vs
46.9%
栃幸大 (R=1443)
Glicko-2 expected score (opponent RD taken into account)
Forecast accuracy (2 bouts)
| Predicted win rate (大花竜) | 57.6% |
| Actual win rate | 100.0% |
| Delta | 42.4pt |
Positive = 大花竜 wins above rating expectation; negative = below.
Career Comparison
| Item | 大花竜 | 栃幸大 |
|---|---|---|
| Peak rating | 1560 (2026-03) | 1448 (2026-07) |
| Career bouts | 116 | 398 |
| Wins | 68 | 209 |
| Losses | 47 | 185 |
| Win rate | 59.5% | 53.0% |
| Current rank | Makushita #8 | Makushita #7 |
| Active period | 2024-05 〜 2026-09 | 2017-03 〜 2026-09 |
Rating history (overlay)
Bout details (2)
| Basho | Day | Predicted | 大花竜 | vs | 栃幸大 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-09 | 12 | 62% | ○ | vs | ● |
| 2026-11 | 5 | 53% | ○ | vs | ● |
Predicted = expected score at the start of that tournament (causal). Highlighted rows = upsets vs prediction.