HEAD-TO-HEAD
Head-to-Head Comparison
Career Head-to-Head
All career bouts, including juryo and below (broadcast tallies usually count makuuchi only).
Rating-based Forecast
Expected win rate (latest)
59.6%
義ノ富士 (R=1816)
vs
40.4%
大栄翔 (R=1747)
Glicko-2 expected score (opponent RD taken into account)
Forecast accuracy (5 bouts)
| Predicted win rate (義ノ富士) | 49.7% |
| Actual win rate | 20.0% |
| Delta | -29.7pt |
Positive = 義ノ富士 wins above rating expectation; negative = below.
Career Comparison
| Item | 義ノ富士 | 大栄翔 |
|---|---|---|
| Peak rating | 1832 (2026-05) | 1866 (2025-05) |
| Career bouts | 185 | 1,196 |
| Wins | 118 | 637 |
| Losses | 65 | 529 |
| Win rate | 64.9% | 55.0% |
| Current rank | Komusubi | Maegashira #4 |
| Active period | 2024-05 〜 2026-09 | 2012-01 〜 2026-09 |
Rating history (overlay)
Bout details (5)
| Basho | Day | Predicted | 義ノ富士 | vs | 大栄翔 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-09 | 10 | 33% | ● | vs | ○ |
| 2026-01 | 13 | 49% | ● | vs | ○ |
| 2026-05 | 5 | 54% | ○ | vs | ● |
| 2026-07 | 15 | 61% | ● | vs | ○ |
| 2026-09 | 4 | 51% | ● | vs | ○ |
Predicted = expected score at the start of that tournament (causal). Highlighted rows = upsets vs prediction.