HEAD-TO-HEAD
Head-to-Head Comparison
Career Head-to-Head
All career bouts, including juryo and below (broadcast tallies usually count makuuchi only).
Rating-based Forecast
Expected win rate (latest)
53.6%
義ノ富士 (R=1816)
vs
46.4%
美ノ海 (R=1791)
Glicko-2 expected score (opponent RD taken into account)
Forecast accuracy (6 bouts)
| Predicted win rate (義ノ富士) | 62.8% |
| Actual win rate | 50.0% |
| Delta | -12.8pt |
Positive = 義ノ富士 wins above rating expectation; negative = below.
Career Comparison
| Item | 義ノ富士 | 美ノ海 |
|---|---|---|
| Peak rating | 1832 (2026-05) | 1791 (2026-09) |
| Career bouts | 185 | 764 |
| Wins | 118 | 391 |
| Losses | 65 | 368 |
| Win rate | 64.9% | 51.6% |
| Current rank | Komusubi | Komusubi |
| Active period | 2024-05 〜 2026-09 | 2016-03 〜 2026-09 |
Rating history (overlay)
Bout details (6)
| Basho | Day | Predicted | 義ノ富士 | vs | 美ノ海 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-07 | 2 | 62% | ○ | vs | ● |
| 2025-09 | 12 | 65% | ● | vs | ○ |
| 2025-11 | 6 | 61% | ○ | vs | ● |
| 2026-03 | 11 | 62% | ○ | vs | ● |
| 2026-07 | 11 | 67% | ● | vs | ○ |
| 2026-09 | 3 | 59% | ● | vs | ○ |
Predicted = expected score at the start of that tournament (causal). Highlighted rows = upsets vs prediction.