HEAD-TO-HEAD
Head-to-Head Comparison
Career Head-to-Head
All career bouts, including juryo and below (broadcast tallies usually count makuuchi only).
Rating-based Forecast
Expected win rate (latest)
82.4%
菊池 (R=713)
vs
17.6%
荒飛 (R=439)
Glicko-2 expected score (opponent RD taken into account)
Forecast accuracy (1 bouts)
| Predicted win rate (菊池) | 68.7% |
| Actual win rate | 0.0% |
| Delta | -68.7pt |
Positive = 菊池 wins above rating expectation; negative = below.
Career Comparison
| Item | 菊池 | 荒飛 |
|---|---|---|
| Peak rating | 713 (2026-09) | 819 (2022-05) |
| Career bouts | 84 | 177 |
| Wins | 34 | 53 |
| Losses | 32 | 121 |
| Win rate | 51.5% | 29.9% |
| Current rank | Jonidan #67 | Jonidan #66 |
| Active period | 2024-07 〜 2026-09 | 2022-05 〜 2026-09 |
Rating history (overlay)
Bout details (1)
| Basho | Day | Predicted | 菊池 | vs | 荒飛 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-01 | 10 | 69% | ● | vs | ○ |
Predicted = expected score at the start of that tournament (causal). Highlighted rows = upsets vs prediction.