HEAD-TO-HEAD
Head-to-Head Comparison
Career Head-to-Head
All career bouts, including juryo and below (broadcast tallies usually count makuuchi only).
Rating-based Forecast
Expected win rate (latest)
61.6%
清水海 (R=1281)
vs
38.4%
天照馬 (R=1197)
Glicko-2 expected score (opponent RD taken into account)
Forecast accuracy (1 bouts)
| Predicted win rate (清水海) | 61.6% |
| Actual win rate | 0.0% |
| Delta | -61.6pt |
Positive = 清水海 wins above rating expectation; negative = below.
Career Comparison
| Item | 清水海 | 天照馬 |
|---|---|---|
| Peak rating | 1586 (2024-09) | 1231 (2024-11) |
| Career bouts | 101 | 357 |
| Wins | 57 | 180 |
| Losses | 44 | 147 |
| Win rate | 56.4% | 55.0% |
| Current rank | Sandanme #4 | Sandanme #3 |
| Active period | 2024-07 〜 2026-09 | 2018-03 〜 2026-09 |
Rating history (overlay)
Bout details (1)
| Basho | Day | Predicted | 清水海 | vs | 天照馬 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-11 | 3 | 62% | ● | vs | ○ |
Predicted = expected score at the start of that tournament (causal). Highlighted rows = upsets vs prediction.