HEAD-TO-HEAD
Head-to-Head Comparison
Career Head-to-Head
All career bouts, including juryo and below (broadcast tallies usually count makuuchi only).
Rating-based Forecast
Expected win rate (latest)
68.1%
山田 (R=346)
vs
31.9%
原 (R=211)
Glicko-2 expected score (opponent RD taken into account)
Forecast accuracy (2 bouts)
| Predicted win rate (山田) | 60.4% |
| Actual win rate | 100.0% |
| Delta | 39.6pt |
Positive = 山田 wins above rating expectation; negative = below.
Career Comparison
| Item | 山田 | 原 |
|---|---|---|
| Peak rating | 615 (2024-07) | 892 (2024-05) |
| Career bouts | 85 | 91 |
| Wins | 27 | 21 |
| Losses | 58 | 70 |
| Win rate | 31.8% | 23.1% |
| Current rank | Jonidan #99 | Jonidan #96 |
| Active period | 2024-07 〜 2026-09 | 2024-05 〜 2026-09 |
Rating history (overlay)
Bout details (2)
| Basho | Day | Predicted | 山田 | vs | 原 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024-11 | 7 | 55% | ○ | vs | ● |
| 2025-01 | 3 | 66% | ○ | vs | ● |
Predicted = expected score at the start of that tournament (causal). Highlighted rows = upsets vs prediction.