HEAD-TO-HEAD
Head-to-Head Comparison
Career Head-to-Head
All career bouts, including juryo and below (broadcast tallies usually count makuuchi only).
Rating-based Forecast
Expected win rate (latest)
63.7%
朝翠龍 (R=1650)
vs
36.3%
千代翔馬 (R=1551)
Glicko-2 expected score (opponent RD taken into account)
Forecast accuracy (1 bouts)
| Predicted win rate (朝翠龍) | 59.4% |
| Actual win rate | 100.0% |
| Delta | 40.6pt |
Positive = 朝翠龍 wins above rating expectation; negative = below.
Career Comparison
| Item | 朝翠龍 | 千代翔馬 |
|---|---|---|
| Peak rating | 1650 (2026-09) | 1714 (2025-01) |
| Career bouts | 154 | 1,222 |
| Wins | 96 | 601 |
| Losses | 58 | 599 |
| Win rate | 62.3% | 50.1% |
| Current rank | Maegashira #13 | Juryo #1 |
| Active period | 2024-07 〜 2026-09 | 2009-07 〜 2026-09 |
Rating history (overlay)
Bout details (1)
| Basho | Day | Predicted | 朝翠龍 | vs | 千代翔馬 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09 | 1 | 59% | ○ | vs | ● |
Predicted = expected score at the start of that tournament (causal). Highlighted rows = upsets vs prediction.