HEAD-TO-HEAD
Head-to-Head Comparison
Career Head-to-Head
All career bouts, including juryo and below (broadcast tallies usually count makuuchi only).
Rating-based Forecast
Expected win rate (latest)
65.3%
朝翠龍 (R=1650)
vs
34.7%
湘南乃海 (R=1538)
Glicko-2 expected score (opponent RD taken into account)
Forecast accuracy (4 bouts)
| Predicted win rate (朝翠龍) | 59.4% |
| Actual win rate | 50.0% |
| Delta | -9.4pt |
Positive = 朝翠龍 wins above rating expectation; negative = below.
Career Comparison
| Item | 朝翠龍 | 湘南乃海 |
|---|---|---|
| Peak rating | 1650 (2026-09) | 1692 (2023-07) |
| Career bouts | 154 | 705 |
| Wins | 96 | 369 |
| Losses | 58 | 336 |
| Win rate | 62.3% | 52.3% |
| Current rank | Maegashira #15 | Maegashira #17 |
| Active period | 2024-07 〜 2026-09 | 2014-03 〜 2026-09 |
Rating history (overlay)
Bout details (4)
| Basho | Day | Predicted | 朝翠龍 | vs | 湘南乃海 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-03 | 12 | 66% | ● | vs | ○ |
| 2026-05 | 11 | 58% | ○ | vs | ● |
| 2026-07 | 10 | 58% | ● | vs | ○ |
| 2026-09 | 2 | 56% | ○ | vs | ● |
Predicted = expected score at the start of that tournament (causal). Highlighted rows = upsets vs prediction.