HEAD-TO-HEAD
Head-to-Head Comparison
Career Head-to-Head
All career bouts, including juryo and below (broadcast tallies usually count makuuchi only).
Rating-based Forecast
Expected win rate (latest)
56.8%
朝翠龍 (R=1402)
vs
43.2%
湘南乃海 (R=1354)
Glicko-2 expected score (opponent RD taken into account)
Forecast accuracy (3 bouts)
| Predicted win rate (朝翠龍) | 56.8% |
| Actual win rate | 33.3% |
| Delta | -23.5pt |
Positive = 朝翠龍 wins above rating expectation; negative = below.
Career Comparison
| Item | 朝翠龍 | 湘南乃海 |
|---|---|---|
| Peak rating | 1429 (2025-01) | 1395 (2024-07) |
| Career bouts | 136 | 687 |
| Wins | 84 | 363 |
| Losses | 51 | 323 |
| Win rate | 62.2% | 52.9% |
| Current rank | Juryo #1 | Juryo #6 |
| Active period | 2024-07 〜 2026-07 | 2014-03 〜 2026-07 |
Rating history (overlay)
Bout details (3)
| Basho | Day | Predicted | 朝翠龍 | vs | 湘南乃海 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-03 | 12 | 59% | ● | vs | ○ |
| 2026-05 | 11 | 55% | ○ | vs | ● |
| 2026-07 | 10 | 56% | ● | vs | ○ |
Predicted = expected score at the start of that tournament (causal). Highlighted rows = upsets vs prediction.