HEAD-TO-HEAD
Head-to-Head Comparison
Career Head-to-Head
All career bouts, including juryo and below (broadcast tallies usually count makuuchi only).
Rating-based Forecast
Expected win rate (latest)
62.5%
朝翠龍 (R=1410)
vs
37.5%
羽出山 (R=1321)
Glicko-2 expected score (opponent RD taken into account)
Forecast accuracy (6 bouts)
| Predicted win rate (朝翠龍) | 61.0% |
| Actual win rate | 16.7% |
| Delta | -44.4pt |
Positive = 朝翠龍 wins above rating expectation; negative = below.
Career Comparison
| Item | 朝翠龍 | 羽出山 |
|---|---|---|
| Peak rating | 1429 (2025-01) | 1338 (2025-11) |
| Career bouts | 139 | 269 |
| Wins | 88 | 147 |
| Losses | 51 | 120 |
| Win rate | 63.3% | 54.9% |
| Current rank | Juryo #1 | Juryo #8 |
| Active period | 2024-07 〜 2026-07 | 2022-03 〜 2026-07 |
Rating history (overlay)
Bout details (6)
| Basho | Day | Predicted | 朝翠龍 | vs | 羽出山 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-05 | 15 | 65% | ● | vs | ○ |
| 2025-09 | 8 | 65% | ● | vs | ○ |
| 2025-11 | 12 | 59% | ● | vs | ○ |
| 2026-03 | 13 | 61% | ● | vs | ○ |
| 2026-05 | 2 | 56% | ● | vs | ○ |
| 2026-07 | 15 | 60% | ○ | vs | ● |
Predicted = expected score at the start of that tournament (causal). Highlighted rows = upsets vs prediction.