HEAD-TO-HEAD
Head-to-Head Comparison
Career Head-to-Head
All career bouts, including juryo and below (broadcast tallies usually count makuuchi only).
Rating-based Forecast
Expected win rate (latest)
74.2%
朝翠龍 (R=1650)
vs
25.8%
羽出山 (R=1463)
Glicko-2 expected score (opponent RD taken into account)
Forecast accuracy (6 bouts)
| Predicted win rate (朝翠龍) | 55.2% |
| Actual win rate | 16.7% |
| Delta | -38.5pt |
Positive = 朝翠龍 wins above rating expectation; negative = below.
Career Comparison
| Item | 朝翠龍 | 羽出山 |
|---|---|---|
| Peak rating | 1650 (2026-09) | 1620 (2025-11) |
| Career bouts | 154 | 284 |
| Wins | 96 | 151 |
| Losses | 58 | 131 |
| Win rate | 62.3% | 53.4% |
| Current rank | Maegashira #13 | Juryo #14 |
| Active period | 2024-07 〜 2026-09 | 2022-03 〜 2026-09 |
Rating history (overlay)
Bout details (6)
| Basho | Day | Predicted | 朝翠龍 | vs | 羽出山 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-05 | 15 | 56% | ● | vs | ○ |
| 2025-09 | 8 | 58% | ● | vs | ○ |
| 2025-11 | 12 | 49% | ● | vs | ○ |
| 2026-03 | 13 | 59% | ● | vs | ○ |
| 2026-05 | 2 | 48% | ● | vs | ○ |
| 2026-07 | 15 | 60% | ○ | vs | ● |
Predicted = expected score at the start of that tournament (causal). Highlighted rows = upsets vs prediction.