HEAD-TO-HEAD
Head-to-Head Comparison
Career Head-to-Head
All career bouts, including juryo and below (broadcast tallies usually count makuuchi only).
Rating-based Forecast
Expected win rate (latest)
61.8%
朝翠龍 (R=1650)
vs
38.2%
風賢央 (R=1565)
Glicko-2 expected score (opponent RD taken into account)
Forecast accuracy (5 bouts)
| Predicted win rate (朝翠龍) | 57.9% |
| Actual win rate | 40.0% |
| Delta | -17.9pt |
Positive = 朝翠龍 wins above rating expectation; negative = below.
Career Comparison
| Item | 朝翠龍 | 風賢央 |
|---|---|---|
| Peak rating | 1650 (2026-09) | 1565 (2026-09) |
| Career bouts | 154 | 277 |
| Wins | 96 | 157 |
| Losses | 58 | 117 |
| Win rate | 62.3% | 57.2% |
| Current rank | Maegashira #13 | Juryo #2 |
| Active period | 2024-07 〜 2026-09 | 2022-05 〜 2026-09 |
Rating history (overlay)
Bout details (5)
| Basho | Day | Predicted | 朝翠龍 | vs | 風賢央 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-03 | 14 | 57% | ● | vs | ○ |
| 2025-09 | 7 | 62% | ● | vs | ○ |
| 2025-11 | 15 | 55% | ○ | vs | ● |
| 2026-05 | 12 | 58% | ○ | vs | ● |
| 2026-07 | 11 | 57% | ● | vs | ○ |
Predicted = expected score at the start of that tournament (causal). Highlighted rows = upsets vs prediction.