HEAD-TO-HEAD
Head-to-Head Comparison
Career Head-to-Head
All career bouts, including juryo and below (broadcast tallies usually count makuuchi only).
Rating-based Forecast
Expected win rate (latest)
58.9%
朝翠龍 (R=1650)
vs
41.1%
旭海雄 (R=1587)
Glicko-2 expected score (opponent RD taken into account)
Forecast accuracy (6 bouts)
| Predicted win rate (朝翠龍) | 52.1% |
| Actual win rate | 33.3% |
| Delta | -18.8pt |
Positive = 朝翠龍 wins above rating expectation; negative = below.
Career Comparison
| Item | 朝翠龍 | 旭海雄 |
|---|---|---|
| Peak rating | 1650 (2026-09) | 1609 (2026-05) |
| Career bouts | 154 | 167 |
| Wins | 96 | 107 |
| Losses | 58 | 60 |
| Win rate | 62.3% | 64.1% |
| Current rank | Maegashira #13 | Maegashira #16 |
| Active period | 2024-07 〜 2026-09 | 2024-01 〜 2026-09 |
Rating history (overlay)
Bout details (6)
| Basho | Day | Predicted | 朝翠龍 | vs | 旭海雄 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024-07 | 6 | 62% | ● | vs | ○ |
| 2024-09 | 3 | 53% | ● | vs | ○ |
| 2025-09 | 5 | 50% | ○ | vs | ● |
| 2026-03 | 14 | 52% | ● | vs | ○ |
| 2026-05 | 1 | 46% | ● | vs | ○ |
| 2026-07 | 3 | 49% | ○ | vs | ● |
Predicted = expected score at the start of that tournament (causal). Highlighted rows = upsets vs prediction.