HEAD-TO-HEAD
Head-to-Head Comparison
Career Head-to-Head
All career bouts, including juryo and below (broadcast tallies usually count makuuchi only).
Rating-based Forecast
Expected win rate (latest)
56.0%
朝翠龍 (R=1650)
vs
44.0%
嵐富士 (R=1608)
Glicko-2 expected score (opponent RD taken into account)
Forecast accuracy (3 bouts)
| Predicted win rate (朝翠龍) | 62.2% |
| Actual win rate | 66.7% |
| Delta | 4.4pt |
Positive = 朝翠龍 wins above rating expectation; negative = below.
Career Comparison
| Item | 朝翠龍 | 嵐富士 |
|---|---|---|
| Peak rating | 1650 (2026-09) | 1608 (2026-09) |
| Career bouts | 154 | 128 |
| Wins | 96 | 78 |
| Losses | 58 | 48 |
| Win rate | 62.3% | 61.4% |
| Current rank | Maegashira #15 | Juryo #5 |
| Active period | 2024-07 〜 2026-09 | 2024-03 〜 2026-09 |
Rating history (overlay)
Bout details (3)
| Basho | Day | Predicted | 朝翠龍 | vs | 嵐富士 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-01 | 1 | 65% | ○ | vs | ● |
| 2026-07 | 14 | 62% | ○ | vs | ● |
| 2026-09 | 10 | 60% | ● | vs | ○ |
Predicted = expected score at the start of that tournament (causal). Highlighted rows = upsets vs prediction.