HEAD-TO-HEAD
Head-to-Head Comparison
Career Head-to-Head
All career bouts, including juryo and below (broadcast tallies usually count makuuchi only).
Rating-based Forecast
Expected win rate (latest)
77.4%
朝翠龍 (R=1650)
vs
22.6%
佐田の海 (R=1432)
Glicko-2 expected score (opponent RD taken into account)
Forecast accuracy (3 bouts)
| Predicted win rate (朝翠龍) | 58.0% |
| Actual win rate | 66.7% |
| Delta | 8.7pt |
Positive = 朝翠龍 wins above rating expectation; negative = below.
Career Comparison
| Item | 朝翠龍 | 佐田の海 |
|---|---|---|
| Peak rating | 1650 (2026-09) | 1692 (2015-07) |
| Career bouts | 154 | 1,628 |
| Wins | 96 | 791 |
| Losses | 58 | 829 |
| Win rate | 62.3% | 48.9% |
| Current rank | Maegashira #13 | Juryo #11 |
| Active period | 2024-07 〜 2026-09 | 2003-05 〜 2026-09 |
Rating history (overlay)
Bout details (3)
| Basho | Day | Predicted | 朝翠龍 | vs | 佐田の海 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-03 | 1 | 59% | ● | vs | ○ |
| 2026-05 | 6 | 55% | ○ | vs | ● |
| 2026-07 | 1 | 61% | ○ | vs | ● |
Predicted = expected score at the start of that tournament (causal). Highlighted rows = upsets vs prediction.