HEAD-TO-HEAD
Head-to-Head Comparison
Career Head-to-Head
Rating-based Forecast
Expected win rate (latest)
55.4%
朝翠龍 (R=1398)
vs
44.6%
佐田の海 (R=1360)
Glicko-2 expected score (opponent RD taken into account)
Forecast accuracy (2 bouts)
| Predicted win rate (朝翠龍) | 54.0% |
| Actual win rate | 50.0% |
| Delta | -4.0pt |
Positive = 朝翠龍 wins above rating expectation; negative = below.
Career Comparison
| Item | 朝翠龍 | 佐田の海 |
|---|---|---|
| Peak rating | 1433 (2025-01) | 1404 (2022-11) |
| Career bouts | 124 | 1,598 |
| Wins | 77 | 783 |
| Losses | 47 | 807 |
| Win rate | 62.1% | 49.3% |
| Highest rank | Juryo #1 | Maegashira #1 |
| Active period | 2024-07 〜 2026-05 | 2003-05 〜 2026-05 |
Rating history (overlay)
Bout details (2)
| Basho | Day | 朝翠龍 R | 佐田の海 R | Predicted | 朝翠龍 | vs | 佐田の海 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-03 | 1 | 1400 | 1363 | 55% | ● | vs | ○ |
| 2026-05 | 6 | 1380 | 1361 | 53% | ○ | vs | ● |
Predicted = expected score at the start of that tournament (causal). Highlighted rows = upsets vs prediction.