HEAD-TO-HEAD
Head-to-Head Comparison
Career Head-to-Head
All career bouts, including juryo and below (broadcast tallies usually count makuuchi only).
Rating-based Forecast
Expected win rate (latest)
37.8%
光武蔵 (R=1018)
vs
62.2%
朝氣龍 (R=1106)
Glicko-2 expected score (opponent RD taken into account)
Forecast accuracy (1 bouts)
| Predicted win rate (光武蔵) | 37.8% |
| Actual win rate | 0.0% |
| Delta | -37.8pt |
Positive = 光武蔵 wins above rating expectation; negative = below.
Career Comparison
| Item | 光武蔵 | 朝氣龍 |
|---|---|---|
| Peak rating | 1141 (2025-03) | 1338 (2021-07) |
| Career bouts | 74 | 233 |
| Wins | 40 | 119 |
| Losses | 33 | 113 |
| Win rate | 55.4% | 51.5% |
| Current rank | Sandanme #68 | Sandanme #70 |
| Active period | 2025-03 〜 2026-09 | 2021-05 〜 2026-09 |
Rating history (overlay)
Bout details (1)
| Basho | Day | Predicted | 光武蔵 | vs | 朝氣龍 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-11 | 6 | 38% | ● | vs | ○ |
Predicted = expected score at the start of that tournament (causal). Highlighted rows = upsets vs prediction.