HEAD-TO-HEAD
Head-to-Head Comparison
Career Head-to-Head
All career bouts, including juryo and below (broadcast tallies usually count makuuchi only).
Rating-based Forecast
Expected win rate (latest)
43.3%
天狼星 (R=1304)
vs
56.7%
海真 (R=1351)
Glicko-2 expected score (opponent RD taken into account)
Forecast accuracy (2 bouts)
| Predicted win rate (天狼星) | 42.1% |
| Actual win rate | 0.0% |
| Delta | -42.1pt |
Positive = 天狼星 wins above rating expectation; negative = below.
Career Comparison
| Item | 天狼星 | 海真 |
|---|---|---|
| Peak rating | 1329 (2025-07) | 1359 (2026-07) |
| Career bouts | 74 | 400 |
| Wins | 46 | 191 |
| Losses | 28 | 159 |
| Win rate | 62.2% | 54.2% |
| Current rank | Makushita #39 | Makushita #38 |
| Active period | 2025-03 〜 2026-09 | 2017-03 〜 2026-09 |
Rating history (overlay)
Bout details (2)
| Basho | Day | Predicted | 天狼星 | vs | 海真 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-05 | 6 | 41% | ● | vs | ○ |
| 2026-11 | 5 | 43% | ● | vs | ○ |
Predicted = expected score at the start of that tournament (causal). Highlighted rows = upsets vs prediction.