HEAD-TO-HEAD
Head-to-Head Comparison
Career Head-to-Head
All career bouts, including juryo and below (broadcast tallies usually count makuuchi only).
Rating-based Forecast
Expected win rate (latest)
63.6%
天狼星 (R=1304)
vs
36.4%
相馬 (R=1205)
Glicko-2 expected score (opponent RD taken into account)
Forecast accuracy (1 bouts)
| Predicted win rate (天狼星) | 59.1% |
| Actual win rate | 100.0% |
| Delta | 40.9pt |
Positive = 天狼星 wins above rating expectation; negative = below.
Career Comparison
| Item | 天狼星 | 相馬 |
|---|---|---|
| Peak rating | 1329 (2025-07) | 1344 (2023-07) |
| Career bouts | 56 | 133 |
| Wins | 36 | 75 |
| Losses | 20 | 57 |
| Win rate | 64.3% | 57.1% |
| Current rank | Makushita #39 | Sandanme #3 |
| Active period | 2025-03 〜 2026-09 | 2023-05 〜 2026-09 |
Rating history (overlay)
Bout details (1)
| Basho | Day | Predicted | 天狼星 | vs | 相馬 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-03 | 12 | 59% | ○ | vs | ● |
Predicted = expected score at the start of that tournament (causal). Highlighted rows = upsets vs prediction.