HEAD-TO-HEAD
Head-to-Head Comparison
Career Head-to-Head
All career bouts, including juryo and below (broadcast tallies usually count makuuchi only).
Rating-based Forecast
Expected win rate (latest)
54.2%
藤天晴 (R=1301)
vs
45.8%
荒篤山 (R=1272)
Glicko-2 expected score (opponent RD taken into account)
Forecast accuracy (2 bouts)
| Predicted win rate (藤天晴) | 57.9% |
| Actual win rate | 100.0% |
| Delta | 42.1pt |
Positive = 藤天晴 wins above rating expectation; negative = below.
Career Comparison
| Item | 藤天晴 | 荒篤山 |
|---|---|---|
| Peak rating | 1386 (2025-07) | 1313 (2025-11) |
| Career bouts | 64 | 810 |
| Wins | 37 | 401 |
| Losses | 27 | 397 |
| Win rate | 57.8% | 50.3% |
| Current rank | Makushita #3 | Makushita #5 |
| Active period | 2025-03 〜 2026-05 | 2009-09 〜 2026-05 |
Rating history (overlay)
Bout details (2)
| Basho | Day | Predicted | 藤天晴 | vs | 荒篤山 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-01 | 15 | 55% | ○ | vs | ● |
| 2026-03 | 4 | 61% | ○ | vs | ● |
Predicted = expected score at the start of that tournament (causal). Highlighted rows = upsets vs prediction.