HEAD-TO-HEAD
Head-to-Head Comparison
Career Head-to-Head
All career bouts, including juryo and below (broadcast tallies usually count makuuchi only).
Rating-based Forecast
Expected win rate (latest)
62.4%
藤天晴 (R=1475)
vs
37.6%
荒篤山 (R=1385)
Glicko-2 expected score (opponent RD taken into account)
Forecast accuracy (2 bouts)
| Predicted win rate (藤天晴) | 54.0% |
| Actual win rate | 100.0% |
| Delta | 46.0pt |
Positive = 藤天晴 wins above rating expectation; negative = below.
Career Comparison
| Item | 藤天晴 | 荒篤山 |
|---|---|---|
| Peak rating | 1538 (2026-01) | 1554 (2022-01) |
| Career bouts | 64 | 810 |
| Wins | 37 | 401 |
| Losses | 27 | 397 |
| Win rate | 57.8% | 50.3% |
| Current rank | Makushita #4 | Makushita #16 |
| Active period | 2025-03 〜 2026-09 | 2009-09 〜 2026-09 |
Rating history (overlay)
Bout details (2)
| Basho | Day | Predicted | 藤天晴 | vs | 荒篤山 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-01 | 15 | 47% | ○ | vs | ● |
| 2026-03 | 4 | 61% | ○ | vs | ● |
Predicted = expected score at the start of that tournament (causal). Highlighted rows = upsets vs prediction.