HEAD-TO-HEAD
Head-to-Head Comparison
Career Head-to-Head
All career bouts, including juryo and below (broadcast tallies usually count makuuchi only).
Rating-based Forecast
Expected win rate (latest)
50.8%
藤天晴 (R=1475)
vs
49.2%
大喜翔 (R=1469)
Glicko-2 expected score (opponent RD taken into account)
Forecast accuracy (2 bouts)
| Predicted win rate (藤天晴) | 49.5% |
| Actual win rate | 50.0% |
| Delta | 0.5pt |
Positive = 藤天晴 wins above rating expectation; negative = below.
Career Comparison
| Item | 藤天晴 | 大喜翔 |
|---|---|---|
| Peak rating | 1538 (2026-01) | 1475 (2026-07) |
| Career bouts | 82 | 319 |
| Wins | 46 | 168 |
| Losses | 36 | 119 |
| Win rate | 56.1% | 58.5% |
| Current rank | Makushita #4 | Makushita #6 |
| Active period | 2025-03 〜 2026-09 | 2019-03 〜 2026-09 |
Rating history (overlay)
Bout details (2)
| Basho | Day | Predicted | 藤天晴 | vs | 大喜翔 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09 | 9 | 48% | ○ | vs | ● |
| 2026-11 | 7 | 51% | ● | vs | ○ |
Predicted = expected score at the start of that tournament (causal). Highlighted rows = upsets vs prediction.