HEAD-TO-HEAD
Head-to-Head Comparison
Career Head-to-Head
All career bouts, including juryo and below (broadcast tallies usually count makuuchi only).
Rating-based Forecast
Expected win rate (latest)
50.1%
藤天晴 (R=1475)
vs
49.9%
夢道鵬 (R=1474)
Glicko-2 expected score (opponent RD taken into account)
Forecast accuracy (1 bouts)
| Predicted win rate (藤天晴) | 63.3% |
| Actual win rate | 0.0% |
| Delta | -63.3pt |
Positive = 藤天晴 wins above rating expectation; negative = below.
Career Comparison
| Item | 藤天晴 | 夢道鵬 |
|---|---|---|
| Peak rating | 1538 (2026-01) | 1475 (2026-05) |
| Career bouts | 64 | 274 |
| Wins | 37 | 143 |
| Losses | 27 | 121 |
| Win rate | 57.8% | 54.6% |
| Current rank | Makushita #4 | Makushita #4 |
| Active period | 2025-03 〜 2026-09 | 2020-01 〜 2026-09 |
Rating history (overlay)
Bout details (1)
| Basho | Day | Predicted | 藤天晴 | vs | 夢道鵬 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-09 | 4 | 63% | ● | vs | ○ |
Predicted = expected score at the start of that tournament (causal). Highlighted rows = upsets vs prediction.