HEAD-TO-HEAD
Head-to-Head Comparison
Career Head-to-Head
All career bouts, including juryo and below (broadcast tallies usually count makuuchi only).
Rating-based Forecast
Expected win rate (latest)
56.7%
藤天晴 (R=1301)
vs
43.3%
大皇翔 (R=1254)
Glicko-2 expected score (opponent RD taken into account)
Forecast accuracy (1 bouts)
| Predicted win rate (藤天晴) | 56.5% |
| Actual win rate | 100.0% |
| Delta | 43.5pt |
Positive = 藤天晴 wins above rating expectation; negative = below.
Career Comparison
| Item | 藤天晴 | 大皇翔 |
|---|---|---|
| Peak rating | 1386 (2025-07) | 1362 (2024-07) |
| Career bouts | 64 | 91 |
| Wins | 37 | 60 |
| Losses | 27 | 30 |
| Win rate | 57.8% | 67.0% |
| Current rank | Makushita #3 | Makushita #1 |
| Active period | 2025-03 〜 2026-05 | 2024-05 〜 2026-05 |
Rating history (overlay)
Bout details (1)
| Basho | Day | Predicted | 藤天晴 | vs | 大皇翔 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-05 | 8 | 56% | ○ | vs | ● |
Predicted = expected score at the start of that tournament (causal). Highlighted rows = upsets vs prediction.