HEAD-TO-HEAD
Head-to-Head Comparison
Career Head-to-Head
All career bouts, including juryo and below (broadcast tallies usually count makuuchi only).
Rating-based Forecast
Expected win rate (latest)
62.0%
藤凌駕 (R=1466)
vs
38.0%
千代翔馬 (R=1381)
Glicko-2 expected score (opponent RD taken into account)
Forecast accuracy (2 bouts)
| Predicted win rate (藤凌駕) | 61.9% |
| Actual win rate | 100.0% |
| Delta | 38.1pt |
Positive = 藤凌駕 wins above rating expectation; negative = below.
Career Comparison
| Item | 藤凌駕 | 千代翔馬 |
|---|---|---|
| Peak rating | 1488 (2025-11) | 1411 (2025-03) |
| Career bouts | 100 | 1,204 |
| Wins | 67 | 594 |
| Losses | 32 | 587 |
| Win rate | 67.7% | 50.3% |
| Current rank | Maegashira #9 | Maegashira #10 |
| Active period | 2025-03 〜 2026-07 | 2009-07 〜 2026-07 |
Rating history (overlay)
Bout details (2)
| Basho | Day | Predicted | 藤凌駕 | vs | 千代翔馬 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-03 | 5 | 63% | ○ | vs | ● |
| 2026-07 | 7 | 61% | ○ | vs | ● |
Predicted = expected score at the start of that tournament (causal). Highlighted rows = upsets vs prediction.