HEAD-TO-HEAD
Head-to-Head Comparison
Career Head-to-Head
All career bouts, including juryo and below (broadcast tallies usually count makuuchi only).
Rating-based Forecast
Expected win rate (latest)
75.6%
藤凌駕 (R=1751)
vs
24.4%
千代翔馬 (R=1551)
Glicko-2 expected score (opponent RD taken into account)
Forecast accuracy (2 bouts)
| Predicted win rate (藤凌駕) | 59.2% |
| Actual win rate | 100.0% |
| Delta | 40.8pt |
Positive = 藤凌駕 wins above rating expectation; negative = below.
Career Comparison
| Item | 藤凌駕 | 千代翔馬 |
|---|---|---|
| Peak rating | 1751 (2026-09) | 1714 (2025-01) |
| Career bouts | 118 | 1,222 |
| Wins | 77 | 601 |
| Losses | 40 | 599 |
| Win rate | 66.1% | 50.1% |
| Current rank | Maegashira #1 | Juryo #1 |
| Active period | 2025-03 〜 2026-09 | 2009-07 〜 2026-09 |
Rating history (overlay)
Bout details (2)
| Basho | Day | Predicted | 藤凌駕 | vs | 千代翔馬 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-03 | 5 | 59% | ○ | vs | ● |
| 2026-07 | 7 | 60% | ○ | vs | ● |
Predicted = expected score at the start of that tournament (causal). Highlighted rows = upsets vs prediction.