HEAD-TO-HEAD
Head-to-Head Comparison
Career Head-to-Head
All career bouts, including juryo and below (broadcast tallies usually count makuuchi only).
Rating-based Forecast
Expected win rate (latest)
44.4%
藤凌駕 (R=1751)
vs
55.6%
美ノ海 (R=1791)
Glicko-2 expected score (opponent RD taken into account)
Forecast accuracy (2 bouts)
| Predicted win rate (藤凌駕) | 46.9% |
| Actual win rate | 50.0% |
| Delta | 3.1pt |
Positive = 藤凌駕 wins above rating expectation; negative = below.
Career Comparison
| Item | 藤凌駕 | 美ノ海 |
|---|---|---|
| Peak rating | 1751 (2026-09) | 1791 (2026-09) |
| Career bouts | 118 | 764 |
| Wins | 77 | 391 |
| Losses | 40 | 368 |
| Win rate | 66.1% | 51.6% |
| Current rank | Maegashira #4 | Maegashira #3 |
| Active period | 2025-03 〜 2026-09 | 2016-03 〜 2026-09 |
Rating history (overlay)
Bout details (2)
| Basho | Day | Predicted | 藤凌駕 | vs | 美ノ海 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-05 | 13 | 45% | ○ | vs | ● |
| 2026-09 | 6 | 49% | ● | vs | ○ |
Predicted = expected score at the start of that tournament (causal). Highlighted rows = upsets vs prediction.



