HEAD-TO-HEAD
Head-to-Head Comparison
Career Head-to-Head
All career bouts, including juryo and below (broadcast tallies usually count makuuchi only).
Rating-based Forecast
Expected win rate (latest)
35.3%
藤凌駕 (R=1751)
vs
64.7%
熱海富士 (R=1859)
Glicko-2 expected score (opponent RD taken into account)
Forecast accuracy (2 bouts)
| Predicted win rate (藤凌駕) | 32.1% |
| Actual win rate | 0.0% |
| Delta | -32.1pt |
Positive = 藤凌駕 wins above rating expectation; negative = below.
Career Comparison
| Item | 藤凌駕 | 熱海富士 |
|---|---|---|
| Peak rating | 1751 (2026-09) | 1881 (2026-07) |
| Career bouts | 125 | 476 |
| Wins | 81 | 274 |
| Losses | 43 | 196 |
| Win rate | 65.6% | 58.3% |
| Current rank | Maegashira #1 | Sekiwake |
| Active period | 2025-03 〜 2026-09 | 2021-01 〜 2026-09 |
Rating history (overlay)
Bout details (2)
| Basho | Day | Predicted | 藤凌駕 | vs | 熱海富士 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09 | 4 | 29% | ● | vs | ○ |
| 2026-11 | 7 | 35% | ● | vs | ○ |
Predicted = expected score at the start of that tournament (causal). Highlighted rows = upsets vs prediction.