HEAD-TO-HEAD
Head-to-Head Comparison
Career Head-to-Head
All career bouts, including juryo and below (broadcast tallies usually count makuuchi only).
Rating-based Forecast
Expected win rate (latest)
57.8%
藤凌駕 (R=1722)
vs
42.2%
朝紅龍 (R=1666)
Glicko-2 expected score (opponent RD taken into account)
Forecast accuracy (2 bouts)
| Predicted win rate (藤凌駕) | 54.5% |
| Actual win rate | 0.0% |
| Delta | -54.5pt |
Positive = 藤凌駕 wins above rating expectation; negative = below.
Career Comparison
| Item | 藤凌駕 | 朝紅龍 |
|---|---|---|
| Peak rating | 1722 (2026-07) | 1666 (2026-07) |
| Career bouts | 104 | 369 |
| Wins | 70 | 199 |
| Losses | 34 | 157 |
| Win rate | 67.3% | 55.9% |
| Current rank | Maegashira #4 | Maegashira #13 |
| Active period | 2025-03 〜 2026-07 | 2021-05 〜 2026-07 |
Rating history (overlay)
Bout details (2)
| Basho | Day | Predicted | 藤凌駕 | vs | 朝紅龍 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-03 | 9 | 54% | ● | vs | ○ |
| 2026-07 | 15 | 55% | ● | vs | ○ |
Predicted = expected score at the start of that tournament (causal). Highlighted rows = upsets vs prediction.