HEAD-TO-HEAD
Head-to-Head Comparison
Career Head-to-Head
All career bouts, including juryo and below (broadcast tallies usually count makuuchi only).
Rating-based Forecast
Expected win rate (latest)
59.8%
藤凌駕 (R=1751)
vs
40.2%
朝紅龍 (R=1681)
Glicko-2 expected score (opponent RD taken into account)
Forecast accuracy (2 bouts)
| Predicted win rate (藤凌駕) | 54.5% |
| Actual win rate | 0.0% |
| Delta | -54.5pt |
Positive = 藤凌駕 wins above rating expectation; negative = below.
Career Comparison
| Item | 藤凌駕 | 朝紅龍 |
|---|---|---|
| Peak rating | 1751 (2026-09) | 1681 (2026-09) |
| Career bouts | 118 | 383 |
| Wins | 77 | 207 |
| Losses | 40 | 163 |
| Win rate | 66.1% | 55.9% |
| Current rank | Maegashira #1 | Maegashira #9 |
| Active period | 2025-03 〜 2026-09 | 2021-05 〜 2026-09 |
Rating history (overlay)
Bout details (2)
| Basho | Day | Predicted | 藤凌駕 | vs | 朝紅龍 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-03 | 9 | 54% | ● | vs | ○ |
| 2026-07 | 15 | 55% | ● | vs | ○ |
Predicted = expected score at the start of that tournament (causal). Highlighted rows = upsets vs prediction.